Kernrechtsfrage
Whether the refusal of conditional release under Art. 86 StGB was lawful.
Extrahierter Entscheid
The refusal was lawful because the appellant's overall prognosis was unfavorable, including his repeated offending, illegal stay, and stated refusal to leave Switzerland.
Extrahierte Begründung
Although the formal requirements were met and prison conduct was good, the court found a negative legal prognosis. Given the appellant's criminal record, lack of willingness to return to Algeria, and the impossibility of effective enforcement by removal, a further offense after release was highly likely. The differential prognosis also remained negative.