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22-588•United States v. Hagood
22-588-cr
United States v. Hagood
United States Court of Appeals
for the Second Circuit
August Term 2022
Argued: April 19, 2023
Decided: August 30, 2023
No. 22-588
U NITED S TATES OF AMERICA,
Appellee,
v.
MICHAEL H AGOOD,
Defendant-Appellant.
On Appeal from the United States District Court
for the Southern District of New York
Before: CALABRESI, PARK, and MENASHI, Circuit Judges.
Around 1:00 a.m. on October 14, 2020, New York City Police
Department (“NYPD”) officers drove by Defendant Michael Hagood
near a New York City Housing Authority (“NYCHA”) complex in the
Bronx. Hagood was wearing a fanny pack across his chest and
standing next to a double-parked car. According to the officers,
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Hagood was visibly nervous when he saw them, and one officer
noticed that Hagood’s fanny pack appeared to contain a bulging
object with a straight line on top—the same shape as a handgun. The
officers stopped and frisked Hagood and found a loaded semi-
automatic pistol in the fanny pack.
Hagood was arrested and charged with a violation of 18 U.S.C.
§§ 922(g)(1), 924(a)(2): possessing a firearm after having been
convicted of a felony. He moved to suppress the firearm, and after
a two-day hearing, the district court (Engelmayer, J.) denied the
motion. Hagood now appeals, arguing that the stop violated his
Fourth Amendment rights because the officers lacked reasonable
suspicion that he was engaged in criminal activity. We disagree.
The totality of circumstances in this case—including the officer’s
observations of the fanny pack (as informed by his experience
recovering firearms from fanny packs), Hagood’s unusual manner of
wearing the fanny pack, his nervous appearance, and the late hour in
a high-crime neighborhood—established reasonable suspicion. We
thus AFFIRM.
Judge Calabresi dissents in a separate opinion.
C OLLEEN P. C ASSIDY , Federal Defenders of New York,
Inc., New York, NY, for Defendant-Appellant.
MITZI S. S TEINER , Assistant United States Attorney
(Alison Moe, Assistant United States Attorney, on the
brief), for Damian Williams, United States Attorney for
the Southern District of New York, New York, NY, for
Appellee.
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PARK, Circuit Judge:
Around 1:00 a.m. on October 14, 2020, New York City Police
Department (“NYPD”) officers drove by Defendant Michael Hagood
near a New York City Housing Authority (“NYCHA”) complex in the
Bronx. Hagood was wearing a fanny pack across his chest and
standing next to a double-parked car. According to the officers,
Hagood was visibly nervous when he saw them, and one officer
noticed that Hagood’s fanny pack appeared to contain a bulging
object with a straight line on top—the same shape as a handgun. The
officers stopped and frisked Hagood and found a loaded semi-
automatic pistol in the fanny pack.
Hagood was arrested and charged with a violation of 18 U.S.C.
§§ 922(g)(1), 924(a)(2): possessing a firearm after having been
convicted of a felony. He moved to suppress the firearm, and after
a two-day hearing, the district court (Engelmayer, J.) denied the
motion. Hagood now appeals, arguing that the stop violated his
Fourth Amendment rights because the officers lacked reasonable
suspicion that he was engaged in criminal activity. We disagree.
The totality of circumstances in this case—including the officer’s
observations of the fanny pack (as informed by his experience
recovering firearms from fanny packs), Hagood’s unusual manner of
wearing the fanny pack, his nervous appearance, and the late hour in
a high-crime neighborhood—established reasonable suspicion. We
thus affirm.
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I. BACKGROUND
A. Hagood’s Arrest
On October 14, 2020, NYPD officers John Migliaccio and
Nicholas Rios were on patrol in the South Bronx. They drove an
unmarked police car, but they were in uniform and Rios’s police patch
was visible through their rolled-down window. Around 1:00 a.m.,
they drove past 1230 Webster Avenue, a NYCHA housing project.
Based on their professional experience—four years for Migliaccio and
eight years for Rios—as well as information from the NYPD’s field-
intelligence office, they knew that this was a high-crime area with
gang-related criminal activity including shootings, homicides,
assaults, and robberies.
Both officers saw Hagood and two other men in front of 1230
Webster Avenue. Hagood and one of the other men were standing
in the street next to an SUV double-parked in a bus lane, and the third
man was inside the SUV. The headlights of the patrol car, the
streetlights on Webster Avenue, and the lights from stores across the
street illuminated the scene.
Migliaccio and Rios observed Hagood for about two or three
seconds as they drove by. Hagood was wearing a blue sweatshirt
and had a fanny pack strapped over his shoulder and across his chest.
Although both officers had seen other people wear fanny packs across
their chest, Migliaccio thought Hagood was wearing his fanny pack
“in a manner that was not consistent with everyday wear of it.”
App’x at A77. Rios similarly thought that the style was unusual.
Migliaccio observed that the fanny pack was “very tight across
[Hagood’s] chest,” “with about a quarter to a third of it under his
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armpit.” Id. at A79, A77. Migliaccio thought wearing the fanny
pack in this way kept it “steady in one spot” so the person wearing it
could more easily access its contents. Id. at A191. Migliaccio also
thought the fanny pack “appeared heavy, like there was a weighted
object inside of it.” Id. at A79. Rios similarly observed “a bulge in
the fanny pack” and thought the fanny pack “looked like it was
heavy.” Id. at A309. In addition, Migliaccio saw “an elongated,
rigid, solid object within the fanny pack” that looked “like it was in a
line” and “hard at the top” and appeared “to be potentially the top
slide of a handgun.” Id. at A79.
Migliaccio thought Hagood “looked really nervous when he
saw us”—with a “deer-in-the-headlights” look—and “almost
jumped,” “shuttered a little bit,” and looked “visibly agitated.” Id.
at A80, A185. Rios similarly thought that, as their vehicle
approached, Hagood “had a nervous look,” “[a]lmost like a deer in
the headlights with a frozen look for a short period of . . . time.” Id.
at A310. Migliaccio decided to perform a Terry stop because, based
on the circumstances and his observations, he believed that Hagood’s
fanny pack contained a firearm.
Two other officers—Sergeant Steven Counihan and Officer
Mike Suarez—had been driving another unmarked patrol car a few
car-lengths behind Migliaccio and Rios. Migliaccio notified them by
radio that he intended to conduct a stop. Migliaccio turned the
vehicle around, parked, and approached Hagood from the north with
Rios. Counihan and Suarez also parked and approached Hagood
from the south. Counihan reached Hagood first and, according to
Counihan, Hagood “turned his body and bent his knees as if he was
going to take flight away from” the officers. Id. at A213. With the
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help of Migliaccio and Rios, Counihan then handcuffed Hagood “to
prevent him from fleeing.” Id. Rios removed and searched
Hagood’s fanny pack. Inside was a loaded Hi-Point semi-automatic
9-mm pistol, along with two packs of cigarettes and a bag of cough
drops.
Hagood was arrested, and on December 3, 2020, a grand jury
returned an indictment charging him with one count of violating 18
U.S.C. §§ 922(g)(1), 924(a)(2), by possessing a firearm after having
been convicted of a felony.1
B. Suppression Hearing
Hagood moved to suppress the firearm, and the district court
held a two-day hearing. The district court received evidence,
including the firearm; the fanny pack; bodycam footage from
Migliaccio, Rios, and Suarez;2 surveillance footage from a dentist’s
office across the street; maps and photographs of the area; and
photographs of Hagood from the day of the arrest. Judge
Engelmayer donned the fanny pack himself, with the seized firearm
inside, to observe the purported bulge of the firearm. The district
court also considered Hagood’s pretrial affirmation recounting the
search and arrest and heard testimony from Migliaccio, Rios, and
Counihan.
1 In 2009, Hagood had been convicted of felony possession of a controlled
substance in the third degree under N.Y. Penal Law § 220.16.
2 Counihan testified that he tried to activate his body camera before the
arrest, but it did not record due to a camera malfunction. He had reported issues
with his camera before the night of the arrest and was told to reset his camera.
That failed to resolve the issue, so he was issued a new body camera about two
weeks after the arrest.
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Migliaccio, Rios, and Counihan described their professional
experience, their observations of Hagood, and the events leading up
to the arrest. In addition, all three testified that they had prior
experience involving firearms in fanny packs. Migliaccio had
“received intel from the NYPD intel bureau that guns are being kept
in fanny packs” and heard about “[d]ozens” of firearms that other
officers in his precinct had recovered from fanny packs. Id. at A189,
A196. Hagood’s fanny pack “looked similar” to those Migliaccio
had seen in ten to twenty prior incidents involving firearms retrieved
from fanny packs. Id. at A79.3 Rios also knew about “a lot of recent
arrests involving firearms that were in individuals’ fanny packs
strapped across their chests.” Id. at A309-10. That year, Rios had
responded to around ten incidents in which a defendant was carrying
a firearm in a fanny pack. Similarly, Counihan had responded to
around eight to ten such incidents that year.
Migliaccio also testified that he later learned that Hagood’s
fanny pack contained objects other than the gun, including two packs
of cigarettes. Nevertheless, Migliaccio said that he knew he had
observed the firearm and not the other objects because “[t]he firearm
is bigger than both cigarette packages” and “doesn’t look like
cigarette packages.” Id. at A95. Also, “the fanny pack was tight
against [Hagood’s] chest,” compressing the other objects and making
the metal firearm “more pronounced.” Id. Migliaccio testified that
3 The record is unclear as to how many of these incidents were in the
context of a Terry stop. Migliaccio initially indicated he had never recovered a
firearm from a fanny pack during a Terry stop. But he later said that he misspoke,
thinking he was being asked about Terry stops on the night of Hagood’s arrest,
and he clarified that he had, in fact, previously made Terry stops in which firearms
were found in fanny packs.
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the firearm recovered from Hagood was “a black Hi-Point
semiautomatic firearm,” which is “relatively large,” “very heavy,”
and “known for having exaggerated features” including “the slide
and the handle.” Id. at A93. The firearm was also “loaded at that
time,” making it “even heavier.” Id. at A96.
C. District Court Decision
After the suppression hearing, the district court issued a
thorough opinion concluding that there was reasonable suspicion to
stop and frisk Hagood. The district court determined that Hagood
was seized when the officers approached him because “he was boxed
in on all sides” so a “reasonable person in Hagood’s circumstances
would not realistically have regarded himself as free to leave.” Id. at
A507. 4 The district court further concluded that the officers
reasonably suspected that Hagood was engaged in illegal activity,
namely, unlawful possession of a firearm.
The district court primarily based this conclusion on
Migliaccio’s observations about Hagood’s fanny pack. Specifically,
the district court credited Migliaccio’s testimony that he was able to
see the outline of an object that “he believed was consistent with ‘the
top slide of a handgun,’” particularly because the fanny pack was
strapped tightly across Hagood’s chest. Id. at A513 (quoting id. at
A79). Although Rios had testified that he and Migliaccio had 15 to
30 seconds to view Hagood, the district court concluded based on
surveillance video that the officers would have seen Hagood for no
more than two to three seconds. Nevertheless, the district court
4 The government had argued that Hagood was not seized until Counihan
restrained him, but it does not appeal the district court’s holding on that issue.
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concluded that, “[f]or experienced officers focused on Hagood, . . . a
few seconds while driving at a low rate of speed” would be “sufficient
to observe a stationary and well-illuminated person wearing a
weighted bag across his chest and acting in the manner described.”
Id. at A496. Moreover, “the area was sparsely populated at the
time,” and Migliaccio had prior experience recovering firearms from
fanny packs. Id. In addition, Migliaccio’s testimony was consistent
with the district court’s own observations after donning the fanny
pack that “a long horizontal outline consistent with the top slide of
the pistol was easily—indeed, dramatically—visible.” Id. at A513-
14.
The district court noted three other “data points” that
reinforced the officer’s reasonable suspicion to stop Hagood. Id. at
A514. First, Hagood wore his fanny pack in a way that was unusual
at the time. Second, both Migliaccio and Rios thought Hagood
reacted nervously when he recognized them as NYPD officers.
Finally, based on their professional experience and intelligence
briefings, Migliaccio and Rios were both well aware of the prevalence
of criminal activity, violence, and firearms in the neighborhood. The
district court further concluded that “the same facts that suppl[ied]
reasonable suspicion that Hagood was committing a crime
necessarily suppl[ied] reasonable suspicion to justify a frisk for a
weapon.” Id. at A518.5
5 The district court also rejected Hagood’s argument that “the handcuffing
transformed the event from a Terry stop into a de facto arrest,” which Hagood does
not challenge on appeal. App’x at A520.
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D. Guilty Plea and Sentencing
On November 5, 2021, Hagood entered a conditional guilty
plea to the single count in the indictment. The plea agreement
expressly reserved Hagood’s right to appeal the district court’s July
15, 2021 order denying his motion to suppress. 6 Hagood was
subsequently sentenced to 27 months’ imprisonment, to be followed
by three years of supervised release, and a $100 mandatory special
assessment.
II. DISCUSSION
Hagood argues that the district court erred by denying his
motion to suppress because the officers lacked reasonable suspicion
to perform a Terry stop. We disagree. The arresting officers
reasonably suspected that Hagood was armed based on their
observations of Hagood’s fanny pack, his nervous reaction to seeing
them, and his presence in a high-crime area late at night.
A. Legal Standards
The Fourth Amendment protects the “right of the people to be
secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against
unreasonable searches and seizure.” U.S. Const. amend. IV.
“Warrantless searches and seizures are per se unreasonable under the
Fourth Amendment—subject only to a few specifically established
and well-delineated exceptions. The Terry investigative stop and
frisk is one such exception.” United States v. Weaver, 9 F.4th 129, 138
(2d Cir. 2021) (en banc) (cleaned up). In Terry v. Ohio, 392 U.S. 1
6 On December 21, 2021, the district court held a conference and reallocuted
Hagood regarding his plea because Hagood had been under the influence of a
controlled substance during the November 5 plea hearing.
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(1968), and its progeny, the Supreme Court made clear that “the
police can stop and briefly detain a person for investigative purposes
if the officer has a reasonable suspicion supported by articulable
facts that criminal activity ‘may be afoot.’” United States v. Sokolow,
490 U.S. 1, 7 (1989) (quoting Terry, 392 U.S. at 30). Similarly, a Terry
frisk requires “reasonable suspicion not only that criminal activity is
afoot, but also that the person suspected is ‘armed and dangerous.’”
Weaver, 9 F.4th at 139 (quoting Terry, 392 U.S. at 30).
“Reasonable suspicion is less than probable cause and must be
established by specific and articulable facts which, taken together
with rational inferences from those facts, reasonably warrant the
intrusion.” United States v. Hawkins, 37 F.4th 854, 857 (2d Cir. 2022)
(cleaned up). “‘Contextual considerations,’ such as ‘the fact that the
stop occurred in a high crime area,’ factor into a reasonable-suspicion
analysis, and the officers’ assessment of an individual’s ‘nervous’ or
‘evasive behavior’ is ‘pertinent’ in establishing reasonable suspicion.”
Id. at 858 (quoting Illinois v. Wardlow, 528 U.S. 119, 124 (2000)) (cleaned
up). “Although any one of these factors, standing alone, might not
support reasonable suspicion, we do not subject factors pertaining to
an officer’s reasonable suspicion to . . . a ‘divide-and-conquer
analysis.’” United States v. Santillan, 902 F.3d 49, 58 (2d Cir. 2018)
(quoting United States v. Arvizu, 534 U.S. 266, 274 (2002)). “We view
the totality of the circumstances through the eyes of a reasonable and
cautious officer on the scene, whose insights are necessarily guided
by the officer’s experience and training.” Id. at 56.
To deter Fourth Amendment violations, the Supreme Court
created a “prudential doctrine” known as the exclusionary rule, Davis
v. United States, 564 U.S. 229, 236 (2011) (internal quotation marks
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12
omitted), which “often requires trial courts to exclude unlawfully
seized evidence in a criminal trial,” Utah v. Strieff, 579 U.S. 232, 237
(2016). Under the exclusionary rule, a defendant may move to
suppress evidence recovered from a Terry stop or search that was
conducted without reasonable suspicion.7
“When considering a ruling on a motion to suppress evidence,
we review a district court’s legal conclusions de novo, its findings of
fact for clear error, and its decisions on mixed questions of law and
fact, including whether there was reasonable suspicion to justify a
frisk, de novo.” Weaver, 9 F.4th at 138.8 In doing so, we give “due
weight to inferences drawn from th[e] facts by resident judges and
local law enforcement officers,” id., and “special deference to findings
that are based on determinations of witness credibility,” Hawkins, 37
F.4th at 857 (citation omitted).
7 The dissent critiques the exclusionary rule on policy grounds, see Dissent
at 11-14, but this argument is beside the point. Our duty is to “apply the
applicable precedents regardless of the arguments against maintaining those
precedents.” McKinney v. City of Middletown, 49 F.4th 730, 746-47 (2d Cir. 2022).
In any event, this is not a case involving “dubious justifications of police playing
hunches that turn out right.” Dissent at 11. The district court made a careful
determination well supported by the evidence before it.
8 The parties disagree about whether we not only review for clear error but
also view the facts in the light most favorable to the government. Compare United
States v. Pabon, 871 F.3d 164, 173 (2d Cir. 2017) (“[I]n reviewing the district court’s
decision, we apply familiar standards governing clear error review, without
viewing the evidence in either party’s favor.”), with United States v. O’Brien, 926
F.3d 57, 73 (2d Cir. 2019) (“In reviewing the denial of a defendant’s motion to
suppress, we view the record in the light most favorable to the government.”).
We do not decide that issue because we would affirm the denial of Hagood’s
motion to suppress under either standard.
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B. Analysis
The district court correctly concluded that the officers had
reasonable suspicion to perform a Terry stop based on Officer
Migliaccio’s observations of Hagood’s fanny pack, Hagood’s nervous
reaction to seeing the officers, and his presence in a high-crime area
late at night.
The most compelling evidence of reasonable suspicion was
Migliaccio’s observations. It is well established that a bulge
consistent with the shape of a firearm, and located somewhere a
firearm would likely be found, supports reasonable suspicion. See
Pennsylvania v. Mimms, 434 U.S. 106, 112 (1977) (observing that a
“bulge in [a] jacket permitted the officer to conclude that [the
defendant] was armed and thus posed a serious and present danger
to the safety of the officer,” so the “pat-down” was constitutional);
United States v. Padilla, 548 F.3d 179, 189 (2d Cir. 2008) (observing a
defendant “reach underneath his jacket and shirt and adjust a
weighty object concealed at the center of his waistline” supported
reasonable suspicion to perform a Terry stop). 9 Here, Migliaccio
testified that the fanny pack “appeared heavy, like there was a
9 See also United States v. Manuel, 64 F. App’x 823, 826–27 (2d Cir. 2003)
(“[W]e find that Officer Costantino’s frisk was justified, because the bulge in
Defendant-Appellant’s waist area permitted him to conclude that Defendant-
Appellant was armed and posed a danger to the officers.”); United States v. Lucas,
68 F. App’x 265, 267 (2d Cir. 2003) (“The officer’s personal observation of an object
that appeared to be a gun created adequate ‘reasonable suspicion’ to believe that
appellant was unlawfully possessing a firearm, and justified conducting a limited
weapons search to protect the safety of officers and others.”); United States v.
Watson, No. 20-CR-346, 2021 WL 535807, at *7 (S.D.N.Y. Feb. 11, 2021) (finding
“reasonable suspicion to frisk” a defendant when “the bulge that the officers
observed in [the defendant’s] fanny pack was not a generic bulge, but a ‘heavy-
looking L-shaped object’” (citations omitted)).
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weighted object inside of it” and contained “an elongated, rigid, solid
object” that “appeared . . . to be potentially the top slide of a
handgun.” App’x at A79. Migliaccio also knew that firearms were
increasingly concealed in fanny packs based on his “experience and
specialized training,” United States v. Muhammad, 463 F.3d 115, 121 (2d
Cir. 2006), including (1) briefing from the NYPD intelligence bureau
about guns being kept in fanny packs, (2) knowledge that other
officers in his precinct had recovered dozens of firearms from fanny
packs, and (3) personal experience recovering firearms from fanny
packs in approximately ten to twenty other incidents. 10 So
Migliaccio’s observations of a bulge consistent with the shape and
placement of a firearm support a finding of reasonable suspicion that
Hagood was engaged in criminal activity—namely, unlawful
possession of a firearm.
Migliaccio’s testimony about his observations and experience
was also consistent with other evidence introduced at the hearing.
First, Rios corroborated Migliaccio’s observations by testifying that he
also observed a heavy bulge in Hagood’s fanny pack from the same
vantage point as Migliaccio. Second, Migliaccio’s observations were
consistent with the district court’s own finding that “a long horizontal
10 Hagood argues that Migliaccio’s experience “adds no reasonable ground
to suspect fanny packs of carrying guns” because Migliaccio’s testimony did not
make clear whether his prior experience with fanny packs involved “fanny packs
[that] were being worn or just lying in the car.” Appellant’s Br. at 47. The
dissent similarly states that Migliaccio’s testimony “tells us nothing about his
experience in situations like the one he faced in this case.” Dissent at 8. We
disagree. Regardless of the specific context of each case, Migliaccio’s experience
informed his suspicions because he knew fanny packs were increasingly used to
hide firearms and Hagood’s fanny pack “looked similar” to fanny packs
containing firearms that he had observed previously, whether worn on a suspect’s
person or lying in a vehicle. App’x at A79.
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outline consistent with the top slide of the pistol” was “dramatically”
visible when the fanny pack was worn in the manner Migliaccio
described. App’x at A513-14. 11 Finally, Rios and Counihan
testified that, in 2020, they also had recovered firearms from fanny
packs in a number of incidents. So we discern no clear error in the
district court’s conclusion that Migliaccio was credible.
Furthermore, the district court identified three other factors
that bolster a finding of reasonable suspicion. First, “Hagood was
wearing the fanny pack in an unusual manner” suggesting that “the
contents of the pack might also be unusual (or unusually heavy).”
App’x at A514-15. Migliaccio testified that Hagood wore his fanny
pack “in a manner that was not consistent with everyday wear” and
that would allow Hagood to access its contents more easily. Id. at
A77. As Hagood puts it, “Migliaccio was not the fashion police.”
Appellant’s Br. at 48. But Migliaccio could permissibly consider that
Hagood wore an accessory associated with firearm concealment in
such a way as to make a firearm easily accessible.
Second, according to Migliaccio, Hagood “looked really
nervous” and “visibly agitated” when he saw the officers and “almost
jumped.” App’x at A80, A185. Rios similarly testified that Hagood
“had a nervous look” after seeing them. Id. at A310. Although the
dissent claims that a “nervous reaction is not an unusual reaction to
11 The dissent derides the district court’s effort as a “woefully inadequate”
“sham ‘experiment’” because it did not account for the other contents of the fanny
pack, the distance, the lighting, and other viewing conditions. Dissent at 7. The
point of the exercise, however, was not to replicate the scene, but to test the
credibility of Migliaccio’s testimony by determining whether the shape of the slide
of the pistol could even be discernable through a tightly strapped fanny pack. In
its own test, the district court concluded that the slide was in fact visible—
“dramatically” so. App’x at A514.
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police presence,” Dissent at 9, the Supreme Court has made clear that
“nervous, evasive behavior is a pertinent factor in determining
reasonable suspicion.” Wardlow, 528 U.S. at 124; see also Weaver, 9
F.4th at 147–48 (finding that defendant engaged in “[u]nusual,
evasive, or furtive behavior” when he “hitched his pants before
entering [a] gray sedan” because that conduct was consistent with
“hiding something from the police”); Hawkins, 37 F.4th at 858 (finding
reasonable suspicion based, in part, on the officers’ observations “that
both defendants exhibited body movements they perceived to be
evasive”).
Third, the context further supported the district court’s finding
of reasonable suspicion. Hagood stood outside, late at night, in a
high-crime neighborhood. “[O]fficers are not required to ignore the
relevant characteristics of a location in determining whether the
circumstances are sufficiently suspicious to warrant further
investigation.” Wardlow, 528 U.S. at 124. To the contrary, “the fact
that the stop occurred in a ‘high crime area’ [is] among the relevant
contextual considerations in a Terry analysis.” Id.; accord Padilla, 548
F.3d at 188. The district court thus properly noted that “the suspect’s
behavior, the context of the stop, and the crime rate in the area”
reinforced its finding of reasonable suspicion. Weaver, 9 F.4th at 140.
Hagood argues that the officers did not have reasonable
suspicion to conduct a stop. First, Hagood argues that Migliaccio’s
testimony should not have been credited because Migliaccio (unlike
the district court) observed the fanny pack at night, from 30 feet away,
and for only two to three seconds. But the district court
acknowledged these facts and considered the video of Migliaccio and
Rios driving by, which Hagood describes as “prov[ing] the actual
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17
time frame, conditions, and obstacles” present just moments before
the arrest. Reply Br. at 10. The district court also recognized that it
did not don the fanny pack under “laboratory conditions.” App’x at
A442-43. Having fairly considered both evidence supporting and
undermining Migliaccio’s observations, the district court reasonably
concluded that for “experienced officers focused on Hagood, . . . a
few seconds while driving at a low rate of speed were sufficient to
observe a stationary and well-illuminated person wearing a weighted
bag across his chest.” Id. at A496. Although Hagood disagrees
with this conclusion, “[w]here there are two permissible views of the
evidence, the factfinder’s choice between them cannot be clearly
erroneous.” United States v. Iodice, 525 F.3d 179, 185 (2d Cir. 2008)
(cleaned up). “When, as here, credibility determinations are at issue,
we give particularly strong deference to a district court finding.” Id.
The district court thus did not clearly err by crediting the
corroborated testimony of an experienced police officer.12
Second, Hagood argues that a generic line visible through the
fanny pack could have been consistent with items other than a
firearm, such as a phone, wallet, or eyeglass case. But a
“determination that reasonable suspicion exists . . . need not rule out
the possibility of innocent conduct.” Arvizu, 534 U.S. at 277.
12 The dissent nonetheless challenges the officer’s credibility based on
several observations supporting its own view that the officer had a “hunch” that
“turned out to be right.” Dissent at 1; see id. at 3 n.1 (questioning the absence of
body camera footage); id. at 4 (calling it “more than dubious” that Migliaccio “saw
any sort of outline in the fanny pack resembling a gun”); id. at 5 (speculating about
the amount of room in the fanny pack “for the gun to shift position”); id. at 9 n.4
(doubting that “Hagood could see Rios’s uniform”). Not only is the dissent’s
reimagination of what happened based largely on speculation, but it flagrantly
disregards the deference due to the district court’s credibility determinations and
findings of fact.
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“Conduct as consistent with innocence as with guilt may form the
basis for an investigative stop where there is some indication of
possible illicit activity.” United States v. Villegas, 928 F.2d 512, 516 (2d
Cir. 1991); see also Weaver, 9 F.4th at 149 (“A police officer, placed into
an uncertain and developing situation, is not tasked with sorting
through multiple possible scenarios and conducting a frisk for
weapons only if that is the sole, or even the most likely,
possibility.”).13
Finally, Hagood argues that the “other data points” cited by the
district court could add “no increment” of reasonable suspicion.
Appellant’s Br. at 28, 48, 55. The dissent similarly proclaims that
“[z]ero plus zero plus zero still equals zero. And one plus one plus
zero does not equal five!” Dissent at 10. But this “erroneous
‘divide-and-conquer analysis’” misunderstands the totality-of-the-
circumstances approach. United States v. Delossantos, 536 F.3d 155,
161 (2d Cir. 2008) (quoting Arvizu, 534 U.S. at 274); Santillan, 902 F.3d
at 58. In fact, it is the opposite. Under the totality of the
circumstances, something unremarkable on its own may become
significant in conjunction with other factors. The district court thus
correctly concluded that Hagood’s unusual way of wearing the fanny
pack, his nervous demeanor, and the time and location of the
encounter “reinforced” its finding of reasonable suspicion, even
13 The dissent relies on a photo of the opened fanny pack, which showed
the gun positioned with its slide down across the bottom of the bag. See Dissent
at 4-5. But there is no reason to assume that the photo depicting the contents of
the fanny pack reflected the arrangement of the items inside when worn by
Hagood. The photo was taken after a “scrum” that involved Hagood and the
officers making enough physical contact that two officers were able to detect the
firearm. App’x at A499.
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19
though such observations “would fall well short of establishing
reasonable suspicion” if made “in isolation.” App’x at A514, A516.
III. CONCLUSION
For the foregoing reasons, we conclude that the district court
correctly denied Hagood’s motion to suppress. The judgment of the
district court is thus affirmed.
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United States v. Hagood
1
G UIDO C ALABRESI, Circuit Judge, dissenting:
The ordinary, reasonable person looking at this case would describe it as
follows: Officer Migliaccio drove by Michael Hagood late one night from thirty
feet away and had a two- or three-second window during which to observe
Hagood. Migliaccio saw Hagood standing outside, calmly talking to two friends
and wearing a fanny pack over his shoulder and across his chest. For whatever
reason, Migliaccio had a hunch that Hagood was up to no good. Migliaccio acted
on his hunch and decided to find a way to search Hagood. His hunch turned out
to be right. Hagood was, indeed, a past felon improperly in possession of a gun.
Migliaccio later justified his decision to search Hagood primarily by stating
that he could see the outline of a hard object across the top of Hagood’s fanny pack.
The outline, Migliaccio said, resembled the slide of a gun. Additionally, according
to Migliaccio, Hagood looked nervous when he drove by.
The majority makes a remarkable effort to show that under all the
circumstances, the officers had good reason to believe that Hagood was
committing a crime. The majority affirms the district court’s holding that a totality
of circumstances—Hagood was in a high-crime area, he looked nervous when
police passed by, he wore his fanny pack in an unusual manner, and one officer,
Migliaccio, claimed he could see a hard outline of an object inside the fanny pack—
amounted to reasonable suspicion sufficient to allow a Terry stop. But, despite the
majority’s Herculean efforts, the record, at best, merely supports that Migliaccio
had a hunch that turned out right.
For that reason, I respectfully dissent.
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United States v. Hagood
2
I.
Let us look at the facts in detail, which do not demonstrate anything, I
believe, more than that the police briefly saw Hagood wearing a fanny pack, which
might have contained a gun, but just as likely anything else, and was wearing it in
an unusual, but not especially significant, way.
At the time of the seizure, Hagood was standing on the street outside a New
York City Housing Authority building, between a row of parked cars and a
double-parked SUV in the early morning hours of a fall evening. Hagood was
talking to two other men, one of whom sat on the passenger’s side of the SUV, and
one of whom stood leaning against the SUV. Hagood wore a fanny pack slung
across his chest and over his shoulder. The fanny pack was zipped closed.
Two officers, Migliaccio and Rios, drove by and had two or three seconds in
which to observe Hagood from thirty feet away. Hagood was five-foot-eight-
inches tall and Migliaccio could not see him above or through the double-parked
SUV. Another double-parked car a few cars’ lengths behind the SUV also blocked
the officers’ view of Hagood as they drove past him. Thus, Migliaccio could see
Hagood only for the two- or three-second window in which Migliaccio’s vehicle
had passed the double-parked SUV but had not yet reached the second double-
parked car.
Despite the darkness, distance, and that he was driving, Migliaccio testified
that he had a “direct” view of Hagood, aided by his headlights and fluorescent
lights from storefronts across the street. A74. Migliaccio stated that it “appeared
to [him]” that Hagood and the men were merely “having some kind of interaction,
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United States v. Hagood
3
a conversation or maybe hanging out.” A 73. No crime had been reported in the
area that evening.
Still, Migliaccio unilaterally decided to conduct a Terry stop. He
subsequently claimed he had seen a “rigid bulge” or an “elongated,” “hard” “line”
in Hagood’s fanny pack, which he thought might be consistent with the shape of
a gun. A79, 106. 1
Migliaccio himself testified that he was not sure whether the “line” he saw
in the fanny pack indicated that Hagood had a gun, cell phone, wallet, or
otherwise. A79, A155–56. Migliaccio’s testimony was that he saw some “portion”
of a rectangle which had some “weight” to it. A155. An officer’s description that
he saw a “weighty object” on the defendant’s person may sometimes support a
showing of reasonable suspicion. United States v. Padilla, 548 F.3d 179, 189 (2d Cir.
2008). But our precedent cannot sensibly be read to mean that such support
follows from the bare fact that an individual has some sort of bag and that that bag
appears to contain a hard object that is the size of a gun. This is especially true
given that common objects, especially the “ubiquitous” cell phone, are similar in
size to a handgun. See Floyd v. City of New York, 959 F. Supp. 2d 540, 635 (S.D.N.Y.
2013); cf. Padilla, 548 at 189 (explaining that because the defendant used a
1 It is difficult to verify Defendants–Appellees’ account of what they saw when they passed by
Hagood and later approached him, given that very little body camera footage exists before the
officers stopped and handcuffed Hagood. Some of the officers made excuses as to why their
body cameras did not capture the stop, ranging from technical difficulties to claiming that there
was no time to push the power button before approaching Hagood. None of the footage of the
officers approaching Hagood contain any images of Hagood wearing the fanny pack before the
police handcuffed him.
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United States v. Hagood
4
“distinctive gripping motion” when “adjusting” the object, the defendant’s
argument that the object could have been the “innocuous” cell phone failed).
Additionally, finding that Migliaccio, in fact, saw any sort of outline in the
fanny pack resembling a gun, as the majority does, is more than dubious. Not only
did Migliaccio view Hagood for just a couple of seconds, at night, from thirty feet
away while he was driving, but he also testified that “a quarter to a third” of the
fanny pack was tucked under Hagood’s armpit. A 77–78. Such positioning would
have obstructed Migliaccio’s view of the length of the line he claimed he saw
protruding inside the fanny pack—a key factor in determining whether the outline
could resemble that of a handgun.
Moreover, a subsequent photo depicts Hagood’s fanny pack zipped open,
displaying its contents. The photo shows the gun positioned with its slide down
across the bottom of the bag, with its handle pointing upwards. That positioning
is the exact opposite of the line of the gun’s slide across the top of the fanny pack
that Migliaccio claimed he saw as he drove by.
Migliaccio had testified that the outline of the slide he allegedly observed
was “evenly across the top” of the fanny pack, “between the zipper and the yellow
top of the nameplate” on the front of the fanny pack. A155 (emphasis added); see
also A39 (photo of fanny pack).2 But the photo quite clearly shows the slide of the
gun along the bottom of the fanny pack.
2 Despite the majority’s assertion, Majority Op. at 14, testimony by the other officers does not
support Migliaccio’s observation that a gun-like shape was visible through the fanny pack.
Rios’s testimony that, from the vehicle, he saw there was a “bulge” in the fanny pack and that it
appeared “heavy” and “full” is too general to provide corroborative support to Migliaccio’s
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United States v. Hagood
5
Migliaccio attempted to account for this inconsistency by stating that the
fanny pack’s contents might have been jostled between the time he spotted
Hagood on the side of the street and when the officers handcuffed Hagood. And
this, he said, could have caused the gun to change position inside the fanny pack.
But Migliaccio also testified that he had been able to see the outline of the gun
pressed against the fanny pack in the first place precisely because it was tight to
Hagood’s body. And this certainly suggests that it would have been difficult for
the contents of the fanny pack to shift so drastically. If the fanny pack was so loose
that there was room for the gun to shift position following the officers’ brief
interaction with Hagood, then Migliaccio’s statement about tightness becomes
more than doubtful.
Additionally, the photo of the open fanny pack shows that the gun was
positioned between the two packs of cigarettes, with one pack of cigarettes
wedged between the gun and the outer fabric of the fanny pack, which would have
further obscured the outline shape Migliaccio claimed to have seen.
Still, in order to hold that he had reasonable suspicion to seize Hagood, the
district court and majority opinion needed to find a way to credit Migliaccio’s
observation. They did so in several ways, all of them highly questionable.
testimony. A309, A370–71; Padilla, 548 F.3d at 189 (holding an officer’s testimony that he saw a
weighty object could give rise to reasonable suspicion because he also included the size, shape, and
heft of the bulge; that the bulge could not appear to be any object other than a gun; and that the
defendant gripped and adjusted the object as if it were a firearm). And, Counihan did not
observe that anything significant was inside Hagood’s fanny pack. Notably, both Rios and
Counihan were closer to Hagood than Migliaccio.
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United States v. Hagood
6
First, the district court and the majority found that Hagood wore the fanny
pack in an “unusual” way, and that that supported reasonable suspicion to stop
Hagood. A514–15; Majority Op. at 15.
But there is no indication that Migliaccio, the lone decisionmaker for making
the Terry stop, believed that wearing a fanny pack over one’s shoulder was, in fact,
an indication that the wearer had a gun. While Migliaccio did testify, as the
majority notes, Majority Op. at 15 (quoting A77), that Hagood donned the fanny
pack in a manner that was “not consistent with everyday wear,” he also testified
that he had seen many men, women, and children wearing fanny packs over their
shoulders instead of at their waists prior to his encounter with Hagood. A77,
A148–50.3
The majority’s assertion that “Migliaccio could permissibly consider that
Hagood wore an accessory associated with firearm concealment in such a way as
to make a firearm easily accessible” demonstrates its desperation to justify what
was really a hunch. Majority Op. at 15. Migliaccio did testify that, because of the
way Hagood wore the fanny pack, he “might be potentially concealing a firearm,”
but never explained why that was so—especially as compared to the traditional
donning of a fanny pack at the waist. A79–80. At most, Migliaccio said that over-
the-shoulder placement was more likely to contain a firearm because it would
keep a gun steady where it could be accessed. A191. But courts have elsewhere
3 As Hagood points out, the manner in which Hagood wore the fanny pack was not unusual in
October 2020. See Emilia Petrarca, New Yorkers Have Discovered a New Way to Wear Fanny Packs,
The Cut (Sept. 6, 2017), https://www.thecut.com/2017/09/fanny-pack-waist-bag-street-style-
trend.html.
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United States v. Hagood
7
cast doubt on similar explanations. See Dixon v. United States, No. 20-CR-368, 2021
WL 1662492, at *16 (E.D.N.Y. Apr. 28, 2021) (“Unlike waistbands, which are a
known place for individuals to carry weapons, no evidence was introduced
suggesting that cross-body bags are typically used to carry weapons.”). And
surely wearing clothes in an unusual way, without much more, is an unlikely basis
to justify a search.
To support its finding that Migliaccio had reason to believe Hagood had a
gun, the district court relied on a sham “experiment” conducted by the district
court. A408–09, A441–46. The district court went through the motions of
attempting to observe for itself whether Migliaccio truly could have seen the
outline of a gun through Hagood’s fanny pack, but it failed to recreate the key
aspects of the scene. The district court judge had the prosecution put the gun
inside the fanny pack, but the two cigarette packs and the package of cough drops
were not added to the fanny pack. The district court judge then placed the fanny
pack over his own shoulder. That means that he observed the fanny pack from
just inches away—not from thirty feet away, as Migliaccio had. Additionally,
unlike Migliaccio, the district court judge was at a standstill when he observed the
fanny pack, not driving by for a two-second period of time. Nothing in the record
indicates that the district court judge dimmed the lights, even though the Terry
stop took place late at night with only headlights and the lights from the
surrounding buildings illuminating the scene.
Though the district court judge admitted that the experiment did not
replicate “laboratory conditions,” A442–43, he still relied on this woefully
inadequate exercise to support his opinion denying Hagood’s motion to suppress
-- 26 of 33 --
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United States v. Hagood
8
the gun, A513–14. See also A443 (stating that the experiment was “closer to
laboratory conditions” once the gun was placed inside the fanny pack before the
district court judge donned it). Oddly, the majority held that because the district
court recognized that it did not review the fanny pack under “laboratory
conditions,” it did not unfairly weigh its “experiment” in finding Migliaccio
credible. Majority Op. at 17 (citing A442–43). Perhaps not, but then what was the
basis for finding Migliaccio’s account to be credible?
The district court also relied on an assessment of Migliaccio’s experience
retrieving guns from worn fanny packs, stating that was why his two- or three-
second observation carried so much more weight than it otherwise would have.
A495–96, A512–13, A515–16. Of course, officers are permitted to make inferences
that might elude an untrained person based on their experiences and specialized
training. United States v. Freeman, 735 F.3d 92, 95–96, 103 (2d Cir. 2013). And a
court must credit a reasonable officer’s “commonsense judgments and inferences
about human behavior.” Kansas v. Glover, 140 S. Ct. 1183, 1188 (2020) (internal
quotation marks and citation omitted).
But this reliance was not justified in the case before us. In fact, the extent of
Migliaccio’s testimony was that he had conducted “somewhere around” five Terry
stops of people wearing fanny packs in his career and had never retrieved a gun
during those stops. A192–93. He had made ten to fifteen stops in which he
recovered contraband from fanny packs inside a person’s car. A193–94. And that
tells us nothing about his experience in situations like the one he faced in this case.
Finally, the district court and the majority, to justify their stop, mention the
fact that Hagood was in a high-crime area and appeared nervous. But if this were
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United States v. Hagood
9
enough, any hunch in a particular neighborhood would be enough to justify a
stop—and it isn’t.
“Even in high crime areas, where the possibility that any given individual
is armed is significant, Terry requires reasonable, individualized suspicion before
a frisk for weapons can be conducted.” Maryland v. Buie, 494 U.S. 325, 334 n.2
(1990). And “generic actions,” like conversing or hanging out with friends, that
take place “in a high crime area[,] are not per se suspicious activities.” United States
v. Bell, 733 F. App’x 20, 22 (2d Cir. 2018); see also United States v. Hussain, 835 F.3d
307, 315 (2d. Cir. 2016).
Nor can a look of nervousness justify the stop—assuming arguendo that
Hagood even knew that the unmarked vehicle contained police officers as it drove
by.4 A nervous reaction is not an unusual reaction to police presence. And district
courts in this Circuit have specifically rejected the notion that a “deer-in-the-
headlights” look may provide an objective indication of criminal activity afoot. See
Ellsworth v. Wachtel, No. 1:11–CV–0381, 2013 WL 140342, at *6 n.5 (E.D.N.Y. Jan.
11, 2013); United States v. Harris, No. 1:11–cr–00143, 2012 WL 3192642, at *7 (D. Vt.
Aug. 1, 2012). We ourselves have held, in a case not involving nervousness
4 There is certainly a question of whether Hagood knew Migliaccio and Rios were police officers
as their car drove past him. Probably, Hagood—in the dark, about thirty feet away, and behind
a double-parked SUV he likely could not see through or over—did not realize that the
unmarked vehicle Migliaccio drove was a police car during the two- or three-second window in
which it would have been visible as it passed him. Under these circumstances, I am not at all
certain that a reasonable officer could have believed that Hagood could see Rios’s uniform in
these conditions, which is what Defendants–Appellants rely on to bolster their argument that
Hagood’s nervousness supported their reasonable suspicion. See Bell, 733 F. App’x at 22
(“[W]hile [defendant] argues he did not see the word ‘POLICE’ on the detective’s vest, the
question is whether a reasonable officer believed [defendant] had seen” it.).
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10
specifically, that “there is nothing suspicious about looking . . . at an approaching
police car.” Dancy v. McGinley, 843 F.3d 93, 110 (2d Cir. 2016).
***
The majority properly decries approaches that consider each individual
piece of the government’s evidence separately rather than looking at all the
evidence together. Majority Op. at 18 (citing United States v. Delossantos, 536 F.3d
155, 161 (2d Cir. 2008)). But Delossantos merely required that courts ultimately
engage in a totality-of-the-circumstances analysis, viewing the evidence as a whole
before reaching a conclusion. 536 F.3d at 161. It did not require that noncredible
pieces of evidence be given weight merely because of the presence of other
similarly unpersuasive pieces of evidence. Zero plus zero plus zero still equals
zero. And one plus one plus zero does not equal five!
In the end, I believe both the district court and the majority felt that the
officers conducted the Terry stop due to a good and successful hunch. But, because
a hunch is not legally sufficient, they each stretch the record to the point of
absurdity in order to achieve “a totality of the circumstances” that would justify
what, in fact, was an officer playing a hunch that turned out right.5
Because a hunch cannot amount to reasonable suspicion for a seizure, I
respectfully dissent.
5 The majority does not mention the fact that Hagood was a Black man nor that the
neighborhood was, likely, a predominantly minority neighborhood. And so neither did I in my
criticism. What I say would be correct regardless of the tremendous additional problems that
our country’s racial history adds. It is worth noting, though, that “[t]he majority of those
stopped [by the NYPD] are people of color, and a vastly disproportionate number are Black.”
See New York Civil Liberties Union, Stop-and-Frisk Data (last visited Aug. 7, 2023),
https://www.nyclu.org/en/stop-and-frisk-data.
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11
II.
Where are we now? What the majority has done in this case is, sadly, not
unusual. And all too often courts of appeals find dubious justifications to be
adequate in order to uphold the admission of evidence which was found on a
hunch that turned out to be right. See, e.g., United States v. Fagan, 71 F.4th 12 (1st
Cir. 2023); United States v. Weaver, 9 F.4th 129 (2d Cir. 2021) (en banc).
This is due to the exclusionary rule, which, unless the search can be justified
by the totality of the circumstances, leads to clear evidence of criminality being
kept out and a guilty and potentially dangerous criminal being released. As I have
written elsewhere, the exclusionary rule, though seemingly needed to control
police misbehavior, has been the primary source of acceptance of dubious
justifications of police playing hunches that turn out right. See Guido Calabresi,
The Exclusionary Rule, 26 Harv. J.L. & Pub. Pol’y 111 (2003).
Moreover, hunches that turn out wrong are rarely challenged. See, e.g.,
Joanna C. Schwartz, Civil Rights Without Representation, 64 Wm. & Mary L. Rev.
641, 650 (2023) (illustrating, via interviews with civil rights attorneys, that they will
“only accept cases with horrific facts [and] serious injuries” and will turn down
cases where they “cannot prove substantial medical costs or other damages”). This
is not surprising since the dubious doctrine of qualified immunity makes such
suits very likely to fail. See, e.g., Penate v. Sullivan, 73 F.4th 10, 18–20, 22 (1st Cir.
2023).
A bit of history may help us understand the absurdity of the current
situation. In the 1760s, a statute authorized “writs of assistance,” which gave
British customs officers the right to search any location for smuggled goods. Akhil
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12
Reed Amar, The Words that Made Us 12 (2021). These officers did not need probable
cause or even reasonable suspicion, and instead could search British citizens and
colonists as they pleased. See id. If the search bore fruit, then the parties searched
had no remedy. Id. at 21. The “rightness” of the hunch was its own justification.
According to Amar, the passage of these laws was one of the principal
reasons for the American Revolution. Id. at 8, 14–15. But what the writs of
assistance did was far less bad than the situation we now find ourselves in. For, if
the writ of assistance search came up short, “the innocent search victim could sue
the searcher in trespass, and a civil judge and jury might well mulct the
unsuccessful searcher with serious damages.” Id.; see also Bruce v. Rawlins (1770)
95 Eng. Rep. 934, 934–35; 3 Wilson K.B. 61 (holding, via jury, that an officer who
acted pursuant to a writ of assistance but whose search of a home did not reveal
any illegal goods owed damages to the homeowner).
At first glance, this model might appear attractive, anathema though it was
to our Founders. Unlike what happens under qualified immunity, the bad hunch
under the writs of assistance was very costly to the searching officer and the
government. Ultimately, if, as some have estimated, more than ninety percent of
today’s hunches turn out wrong,6 one might well think that the old English model
would do a far better job of controlling police behavior than what we do today.
After all, knowing that he could be liable for trespass, “no sensible . . . officer
would dare to search on a mere whim, thereby putting himself at risk of ruinous
6 See Floyd v. City of New York, 959 F. Supp. 2d 540, 584 (S.D.N.Y. 2013) (noting that between 2011
and 2012, “nearly 90% of the people stopped [by the NYPD] are released without the officer
finding any basis for a summons or arrest”).
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United States v. Hagood
13
liability.” Amar, The Words that Made Us 12 (2021). And, as is most likely, if the
government indemnified the officers, the government would have a very strong
incentive to find ways of controlling bad officer hunches.
Let me be clear. I am not suggesting that we adopt such a rule. The rule
creates a significant moral hazard: if officers behaving badly risked paying
damages, they might be tempted to lie about their behavior. Officers who
searched unsuccessfully might lie about finding evidence of a crime if their own
liability was on the line. And that, since it would lead to innocent people being
jailed, could be even worse than what happens now.
Still, our nation’s beginnings do suggest that our current exclusionary-
rule/qualified-immunity scheme is deeply wrong. Well into the nineteenth
century, approaches closer to the English position were clearly stated. Thus, in
United States v. La Jeune Eugenie, 26 F. Cas. 832, 843–44 (C.C.D. Mass. 1822) (No.
15,551), Chief Justice Story wrote that “using evidence does not depend, nor as far
as I have any recollection, has ever been supposed to depend upon the lawfulness
or unlawfulness of the mode[] by which it is obtained . . . even though it may have
been obtained by a trespass upon the person, or by any other forcible and illegal
means.” And Commonwealth v. Dana, 43 Mass. (2 Met.) 329, 334–337 (1841)
explained that an officer who exceeded his authority under a search warrant
“would be responsible for the wrong done” but that it would be “no good reason
for excluding the papers seized as evidence.” I have elsewhere written criticizing
the effect of the exclusionary rule on privacy and, there, as an academic, I offered
a typically academic solution. Calabresi, The Exclusionary Rule, 26 Harv. J.L. & Pub.
Pol’y 111 (2003). My role as a judge, however, is not to advocate for a particular
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14
a solution. Rather, it is to say that our current precedents—in which courts again
and again tie themselves in knots to hold that the fruits of officers’ hunches cannot
be suppressed when they turn out to be right—does not work and that we have to
do better. See Weaver, 9 F.4th at 174 (Calabresi, J., dissenting). I can only hope that
sometime soon, after careful academic research, the legislative, judicial, and
executive branches will come up with a way of controlling police behavior that is
not as fruitless and offensive as what governs our law today!
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