Question juridique clé
Whether the refusal of conditional release was consistent with Art. 38 ch. 1 CP and federal law on prognostic assessment.
Solution extraite
The cantonal authority did not abuse its discretion in finding that the risk of reoffending remained too high to justify conditional release.
Motifs extraits
The court relied on the inmate's disciplinary record, limited and only slight progress in detention, interrupted therapy, lack of concrete post-release plans, expert indications of behavioral problems, and the seriousness of the offences.