Question juridique clé
Whether conditional release under Art. 86 CP should be granted
Solution extraite
The refusal was upheld because the prognosis remained unfavourable: lack of amendment, no genuine insight, untreated psychiatric disorder, and high reoffending risk.
Motifs extraits
The Federal Court found no arbitrariness in the cantonal assessment of the applicant's attitude, refusal of therapy, and continued risk factors; conditional release is the rule, but a negative prognosis justified refusal.