Questione giuridica chiave
Whether the conditions for conditional release under Art. 86 para. 1 SCC were met
Decisione estratta
The statutory time and conduct requirements were met, but release could still be refused because a favorable forecast on future conduct could not be made.
Motivazione estratta
Conditional release requires not only service of two-thirds of the sentence and proper conduct in prison, but also no serious risk of new offences. Given the applicant’s persistent denial, lack of insight, inability to engage in treatment, and the expert assessment of high recidivism risk, the negative prognosis was justified.